PP refuses to accept reality of having to govern with Vox in Castilla y León after regional election result

Analysis: Regional PP government in Andalusia pushes back rumoured calling of early elections in that area of Spain after result in Castilla y León.
By Matthew Bennett
Feb 14, 2022, 9:31 am

The Popular Party tried to keep moving forward on Monday with the version of events it had thought would happen before it called the regional elections: governing by itself in Castilla y León. Vox and the PSOE should abstain to allow that to happen. Both Vox and the PSOE rejected that path outright this morning. Vox wants their man, García-Gallardo, to become the Deputy First Minister and for their election manifesto and ideology to be taken into account. The socialists want to watch the fun on the right.

In several media interviews, PP secretary general Teodoro García Egea found it difficult to accept the reality that the PP has not won enough seats to govern alone, to execute that grand vision they had outlined for themselves a few weeks ago. They are going to have to depend on one or the other.

“If someone wanted the Popular Party to govern alone", said García-Gallardo (Vox): "they should have voted for the Popular Party [...] I'm not going to gift my votes to anyone”. And a few minutes later, in case anyone had missed it, he added: “They should lose all hope of us just giving them our votes. We are not going to facilitate their government in exchange for anything. That has to be clear”. PSOE federal executive committee spokesman Felipe Sicilia said what was happening to the PP was the PP's fault: “Mr. Casado's failure is now being exploited in this case by Vox”, and that "we are not going to support a government stained by corruption".

Vox is making it easy for the PP, as long as they want to govern with Vox. That is the option. Despite the rhetorical energy the socialists have used up over the past few years warning about the threat from "the far right" in Spain, now they have the chance to stop Abascal's party from entering government for the first time, with an abstention or some other form of support for Mañueco (PP), they will not do so. Or that is what they are saying this first day after the elections. Will parties maintain these initial positions as the weeks tick by, up to the point of new elections being called?

“Andalusia government slows down Vox rush and puts early regional elections off to the end of the year”, reads the headline in Diario Sur tonight. The PP leader there, Moreno, does not want to become the PP leader in Castilla y León (Mañueco).

Notes

1. The two-party establishment block system in Castilla y León has been going downhill since 2011. Now instead of Podemos and Ciudadanos, voters have chosen more Vox and more provincial parties. This other way of organising the chart shows that well:

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 9:31 am | On Twitter

2. Those 10 years of an ever weaker two-party system coincide with the rise of populism and widespread ideological shouting on Twitter, TV and parliamentary live feeds. Do they shout more to make themselves heard in that environment or does the shouting cause the split?

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 9:52 am | On Twitter

3. Reuters: "Spain's far-right Vox to enter coalition in Castile and Leon region after vote". They highlight Abascal's demand last night for García-Gallardo to become deputy regional leader. Link

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 10:01 am | On Twitter

4. FT: "Spain’s far-right Vox seeks place in regional government after elections". "The hardline party, which says it wants to “repopulate Spain with Spaniards” instead of immigrants, more than tripled its share of the vote..." Link

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 10:04 am | On Twitter

5. El País: “The PP is in Vox's hands now”. Editorial: “Casado (PP) fails to achieve all his goals”.

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 10:17 am | On Twitter

6. El Mundo: “A pyrrhic victor for Mañueco that leaves the PP in the hands of Vox”. Editorial: “Harsh reality hits the PP”.

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 10:19 am | On Twitter

7. ABC: “The PP wins, Vox decides”. In their editorial, ABC tries to help Casado out a bit: “Another failure for Sánchez”.

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 10:20 am | On Twitter

8. How should we interpret the switch from Ciudadnos to Vox? Is it Arrimadas's gang who have now gone over to Abascal? Or people unhappy with Casado? Cs lost 151,000 votes, Vox gained 136,000. Cs had 206,000 votes, Vox has 212,000. Cs had 12 seats, Vox has 13.

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 10:51 am | On Twitter

9. In its editorial, El Mundo tells Casado to quickly turn into Madrid leader Ayuso: “Madrid's liberal policies have become the most successful counterpoint to the radical drift of Sanchismo [...] As Aznar warned, it is all about uniting, not dividing”. Link

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 10:58 am | On Twitter

10. El País: “The doubt from now on will be how far Casado's leadership of his party is questioned. When Ayuso copies Abascal, she slows him down; when Casado tries it, he pushes him forwards”. Link

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 11:02 am | On Twitter

11. ABC: “Now the PP, which closed the night with a bitter taste in its mouth, is completely dependent on the will of Vox.” The PP might not form a government with Vox “so as not to strengthen them further in the face of a future general election”. Link

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 11:07 am | On Twitter

12. García Egea (PP) has said today on the radio that he does not like coalition governments, except the PP one in Andalusia with Ciudadnos. They want a regional PP government in Castilla y León and “to talk to everyone”. Can they avoid marrying Vox? Link

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 11:24 am | On Twitter

13. And listening to Mañueco this morning too, it is clear that the PP's talking point today is to want to govern by themselves and to try to force Vox look bad with an abstention or a vote against a PP government. Policy solutions, not jobs for the boys. Link

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 11:43 am | On Twitter

14. Is a PP-PSOE coalition a minimally feasible idea in Castilla y León or would that just be electoral death in a political Spain whose habitual vindictiveness has been multiplied in recent years by populist polarisation and the increasingly immediate media tech environment?

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 11:51 am | On Twitter

15. Mañueco repeats what Egea said: PP says today there is no longer a risk of a motion of no confidence. Do they not think Vox capable of setting a trap for them in a year or two when Abascal has made it clear on TV the “the cowardly right” isn't useful? Link

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 12:09 pm | On Twitter

16. García-Gallardo (Vox) has just replied to Mañueco and Egea (PP): “If someone wanted the Popular Party to govern alone [...] they should have voted for the Popular Party [...] I'm not going to gift my votes to anyone”. Link

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 12:22 pm | On Twitter

17. García-Gallardo shatters Mañueco and Egea's hope of a Vox abstention in favor of a PP government: “Either the course of Castilla y León changes, or we will not facilitate any government”. Vox or nothing. “We are not going to just give our votes to the Popuar Party”. Blunt.

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 12:29 pm | On Twitter

18. García-Gallardo (Vox): “They should lose all hope of us just giving them our votes. We are not going to facilitate their government in exchange for anything. That has to be clear”. He can't make it any clearer to Casado, Egea and Mañueco (PP).

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 12:33 pm | On Twitter

19. That's that then. A disaster for Casado and Egea. Either Vox or the PSOE or nothing. In the strange hypothetical event the PP were to go with Sánchez, Abascal would be on TV every day: “Have you seen that? Right-wing cowards making friends with socialists and communists”.

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 12:47 pm | On Twitter

20. The PSOE blames PP: they wanted to call the elections like this, says federal executive committee spokesman Felipe Sicilia: “Mr. Casado's failure is now being exploited in this case by Vox”. PSOE rules out supporting a minority PP government in Castilla y León.

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 2:19 pm | On Twitter

21. But there is a big question for the socialists here: if the PSOE fears the entry of “the far right” into government so much, because they believe the rights of citizens, women or minorities are in danger, why don't they abstain and allow Mañueco (PP) to govern alone?

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 2:22 pm | On Twitter

22. Izquierda Unida says it will do a “rigorous analysis” of its result in Castilla y León. Had they even taken part in the campaign? Their best result was five seats...in 1995. From then, all downhill: 1, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0. This year, also zero. What do they have to analyse?

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 6:23 pm | On Twitter

23. The home page of Diario Sur at this moment, across the whole page: “Andalusia government slows down Vox rush and puts early regional elections off to the end of the year”. PP leader there doesn't want to become the PP leader in Castilla y León.

Published: Feb 14, 2022, 9:17 pm | On Twitter

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